The Anti-“Hockey Stick” Global Warming Effect

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The Anti-“Hockey Stick” Global Warming Effect

Post by MrDoodles on Fri Apr 08, 2011 9:36 pm

The featured graph of world temperature records has been described as “the most stunning refutation of global warming hysteria possibly ever seen”.

There are relatively few instrumental temperature records going back two centuries. This chart pulls together eight of them: one from UK, three from the USA, and four from Europe.

The youngest record dates back to 1840; several go back to the middle of the 18th century, and one, which is the Central England record – the world’s oldest instrumental temperature record – is mid-17th-century.

These temperature records show a long-term, slight upward trend — the long, slow recovery from the Little Ice Age, which is well established and not in dispute.

They show small random variations around the trend line.


And they show absolutely no sign of the “Hockey Stick” effect beloved of Al Gore and James Hansen, which was only fabricated by cobbling together two unrelated data sets in order (in their own words) to “hide the decline”.

The “Hockey Stick” data was published by the University of Massachusetts in 1998.

This data claims to show that we are now experiencing the warmest climate in a millennium, and that the earth, after remaining cool for centuries during the medieval era, suddenly began to heat up about 100 years ago, at the time that the burning of coal and oil led to an increase in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide.

On this graph of eight temperatures, only the English record appears to show even a hint of a sharper rise in recent decades.

Of course there will be some who will question the quality of the data; after all, how are we to know what the thermometer quality was like in 1660?

Although this is indeed a fair point, we do know that thermometers were fairly accurate in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, and half a degree would not make much difference to the overall picture, which is consistent and compelling.

More importantly, in the last three decades when there has apparently been alarming global warming, the thermometer quality has been excellent. And these thermometer readings do not support the orthodox view on global warming.

It would once again therefore show that there is nothing to worry about. More and more experts are laying what they really know out for all to see every week, and what they know is that the global warming that we have been taught about is a lie, and it is time to put this lie out of its misery.

The featured graph of world temperature records has been described as “the most stunning refutation of global warming hysteria possibly ever seen”.
There are relatively few instrumental temperature records going back two centuries. This chart pulls together eight of them: one from UK, three from the USA, and four from Europe.
The youngest record dates back to 1840; several go back to the middle of the 18th century, and one, which is the Central England record – the world’s oldest instrumental temperature record – is mid-17th-century.
These temperature records show a long-term, slight upward trend — the long, slow recovery from the Little Ice Age, which is well established and not in dispute. They show small random variations around the trend line. And they show absolutely no sign of the “Hockey Stick” effect beloved of Al Gore and James Hansen, which was only fabricated by cobbling together two unrelated data sets in order (in their own words) to “hide the decline”.
The “Hockey Stick” data was published by the University of Massachusetts in 1998. This data claims to show that we are now experiencing the warmest climate in a millennium, and that the earth, after remaining cool for centuries during the medieval era, suddenly began to heat up about 100 years ago, at the time that the burning of coal and oil led to an increase in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide.
On this graph of eight temperatures, only the English record appears to show even a hint of a sharper rise in recent decades.
Of course there will be some who will question the quality of the data; after all, how are we to know what the thermometer quality was like in 1660? Although this is indeed a fair point, we do know that thermometers were fairly accurate in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, and half a degree would not make much difference to the overall picture, which is consistent and compelling. More importantly, in the last three decades when there has apparently been alarming global warming, the thermometer quality has been excellent. And these thermometer readings do not support the orthodox view on global warming.
It would once again therefore show that there is nothing to worry about. More and more experts are laying what they really know out for all to see every week, and what they know is that the global warming that we have been taught about is a lie, and it is time to put this lie out of its misery.





The fallacious "hockey stick" graph

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Re: The Anti-“Hockey Stick” Global Warming Effect

Post by victorismyhero on Sat Apr 09, 2011 11:23 am

MrDoodles wrote:The featured graph of world temperature records has been described as “the most stunning refutation of global warming hysteria possibly ever seen”.

There are relatively few instrumental temperature records going back two centuries. This chart pulls together eight of them: one from UK, three from the USA, and four from Europe.

The youngest record dates back to 1840; several go back to the middle of the 18th century, and one, which is the Central England record – the world’s oldest instrumental temperature record – is mid-17th-century.

These temperature records show a long-term, slight upward trend — the long, slow recovery from the Little Ice Age, which is well established and not in dispute.

They show small random variations around the trend line.


And they show absolutely no sign of the “Hockey Stick” effect beloved of Al Gore and James Hansen, which was only fabricated by cobbling together two unrelated data sets in order (in their own words) to “hide the decline”.

The “Hockey Stick” data was published by the University of Massachusetts in 1998.

This data claims to show that we are now experiencing the warmest climate in a millennium, and that the earth, after remaining cool for centuries during the medieval era, suddenly began to heat up about 100 years ago, at the time that the burning of coal and oil led to an increase in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide.

On this graph of eight temperatures, only the English record appears to show even a hint of a sharper rise in recent decades.

Of course there will be some who will question the quality of the data; after all, how are we to know what the thermometer quality was like in 1660?

Although this is indeed a fair point, we do know that thermometers were fairly accurate in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, and half a degree would not make much difference to the overall picture, which is consistent and compelling.

More importantly, in the last three decades when there has apparently been alarming global warming, the thermometer quality has been excellent. And these thermometer readings do not support the orthodox view on global warming.

It would once again therefore show that there is nothing to worry about. More and more experts are laying what they really know out for all to see every week, and what they know is that the global warming that we have been taught about is a lie, and it is time to put this lie out of its misery.

The featured graph of world temperature records has been described as “the most stunning refutation of global warming hysteria possibly ever seen”.
There are relatively few instrumental temperature records going back two centuries. This chart pulls together eight of them: one from UK, three from the USA, and four from Europe.
The youngest record dates back to 1840; several go back to the middle of the 18th century, and one, which is the Central England record – the world’s oldest instrumental temperature record – is mid-17th-century.
These temperature records show a long-term, slight upward trend — the long, slow recovery from the Little Ice Age, which is well established and not in dispute. They show small random variations around the trend line. And they show absolutely no sign of the “Hockey Stick” effect beloved of Al Gore and James Hansen, which was only fabricated by cobbling together two unrelated data sets in order (in their own words) to “hide the decline”.
The “Hockey Stick” data was published by the University of Massachusetts in 1998. This data claims to show that we are now experiencing the warmest climate in a millennium, and that the earth, after remaining cool for centuries during the medieval era, suddenly began to heat up about 100 years ago, at the time that the burning of coal and oil led to an increase in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide.
On this graph of eight temperatures, only the English record appears to show even a hint of a sharper rise in recent decades.
Of course there will be some who will question the quality of the data; after all, how are we to know what the thermometer quality was like in 1660? Although this is indeed a fair point, we do know that thermometers were fairly accurate in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, and half a degree would not make much difference to the overall picture, which is consistent and compelling. More importantly, in the last three decades when there has apparently been alarming global warming, the thermometer quality has been excellent. And these thermometer readings do not support the orthodox view on global warming.
It would once again therefore show that there is nothing to worry about. More and more experts are laying what they really know out for all to see every week, and what they know is that the global warming that we have been taught about is a lie, and it is time to put this lie out of its misery.





The fallacious "hockey stick" graph



interestingly enough, the short term trends indicated by the red lines on the central england graph can be shown to occur every 40-60 years from 1700 to present, each individual trend taking about 40-60 years to complet its cycle. given that the last warming trend strated in 1960 (well 1963 to be precise) and given the last two cool winters, it does look as if we could suddenly get a real cold one sometime soon..

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